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Dynamical network models for cattle trade: towards economy-based epidemic risk assessment

Lookup NU author(s): Dr Joao Filipe

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Abstract

We present a microeconomical model for cattle trade at the level of holdings, using supply-and-demand based equations as basis for cattle movements. We apply this model to a data set covering five years of cattle movement in Finistere (France), comparing simulated outcomes to observed movements by using batch size measurements and potential temporal transmission chain analysis. We find good agreement for models closely calibrated on the data, once high-volume trading nodes such as markets and assembly centres are removed from the data.

Publication metadata

Author(s): Hoscheit P, Geeraert S, Beaunee G, Monod H, Gilligan CA, Filipe JAN, Vergu E, Moslonka-Lefebvre M

Publication type: Article

Publication status: Published

Journal: Journal of Complex Networks

Year: 2017

Volume: 5

Issue: 4

Pages: 604-624

Print publication date: 01/08/2017

Online publication date: 10/12/2016

Acceptance date: 01/09/2016

ISSN (print): 2051-1310

ISSN (electronic): 2051-1329

Publisher: Oxford University Press

URL: https://doi.org/10.1093/comnet/cnw026

DOI: 10.1093/comnet/cnw026

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